Predicting the future is risky business.
Stuff happens, things change, and bam! ~ you’re dead wrong.
Nonetheless, here are my thoughts on what I think will happen in 2012.
Interest Rates
Look for interest rates to remain low in this election year while The Fed continues its (insert words like feeble/ineffective here) attempts to stimulate the national economy.
Interest rates could rise moderately if the economy improves.
Boise Real Estate Values
Look for real estate values to remain at, or near, their current levels in the Boise real estate market.
We may see some price appreciation due to our extremely low listing inventory.
Boise Real Estate Sales
Look for Boise real estate sales numbers to remain at, or near, their 2011 levels.
Buyers will continue to buy homes to live in vs. viewing buying a home as an investment.
Most sales (two-thirds or more) will be under $200,000.
20%, or more, of existing homeowners will remain underwater and unable to move up to a nicer home.
Boise Real Estate Listing Inventory
“Real listings” (those that exist and can be purchased/closed in a reasonable time) will continue to be in extremely short supply throughout the year.
There will not be a big surge of new listings this Spring.
Boise Real Estate Foreclosures/Short Sales
Foreclosures will subside somewhat as lenders focus on short sales and loan modifications to avoid the costly foreclosure process.
Loan Modifications
Lenders will (hopefully) finally realize that it’s a good idea to modify more loans (including principal reductions) and keep borrowers in their homes to avoid losing more money by foreclosing.
Economy
There is a chance that we will see a modest improvement in the economy due to continued low interest rates and 2012 being an election year.
Unemployment
Unemployment will likely remain high throughout 2012, but we could see modest improvement.
Congress
Congress will continue to be deadlocked on major issues throughout the year because it’s an election year and both parties want to make the other guys look bad to the voters.
Overall
2012 will be another year of opportunity mixed with challenge.
There’s opportunity behind every challenge.
January 6th, 2012 Posted in Inside Real Estate |
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